Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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