Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.