Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.