Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.