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Wrexham AFC
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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Wrexham


Sraha (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Burton Albion
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Wrexham

Wrexham have been unable to replicate their impressive home on the road this season, but while they have struggled to pick up wins on their travels, we still believe that they will have the extra quality required to get the better of relegation-threatened Burton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawWrexham
35.56% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.56%36.88%
Both teams to score 49.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.004999999999999 0)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.51% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.55%
    Wrexham 36.87%
    Draw 27.56%
Burton AlbionDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.87%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Wrexham

Burton Albion
12.9%
Draw
12.9%
Wrexham
74.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
Second Round
Wrexham
2-3
Burton Albion
Dalby (5'), Davies (90+2')
Davies (26')
Oshilaja (1'), Helm (3'), Sweeney (64')
Sweeney (36'), Hughes (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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