MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 14:54:13| >> :120:58646:58646:
Milan logo
Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Atalanta

Leao (45')
Hernandez (57'), Leao (80')
Mirante (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koopmeiners (45+2', 59' pen.)
Piero Gasperini (38'), Ederson (90')
Piero Gasperini (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, January 7 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Atalanta BC

Milan have been exceptional at home over the past few months and are favourites to progress in what could be a very open game at San Siro. It is rare for Atalanta to fail to score a goal in a game, but even if they get on the scoresheet here, it will still be a tall order for them to come to San Siro and book their place in the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
48.06% (0.136 0.14) 24.81% (0.223 0.22) 27.13% (-0.359 -0.36)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-1.011 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66% (-1.197 -1.2)48.34% (1.196 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-1.106 -1.11)70.48% (1.105 1.1)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-0.422 -0.42)20.16% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.679 -0.68)52.44% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (-0.902 -0.9)31.97% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (-1.041 -1.04)68.43% (1.041 1.04)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.06%
    Atalanta BC 27.13%
    Draw 24.8%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.371 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.181 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Winner Match 31 vs Winner Match 32

Winner Match 31
73.8%
Draw
12.6%
Winner Match 32
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
Lookman (38', 55'), Muriel (90+5')
Ederson (72')
Giroud (45+3'), Jovic (80')
Reijnders (71'), Calabria (80'), Jovic (88'), Bennacer (90+2')
Calabria (90+3')
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 37
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!