Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.75%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
36.73% ( -1.05) | 21.59% ( 0.17) | 41.67% ( 0.87) |
Both teams to score 70.86% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.33% ( -1.04) | 28.67% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.43% ( -1.29) | 49.56% ( 1.28) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( -0.9) | 16.78% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% ( -1.62) | 46.74% ( 1.61) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.12) | 14.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% ( -0.21) | 43.14% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 41.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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