Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 0-1 (4.75%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.