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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FC Twente logo

Ajax
2 - 1
FC Twente

Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 FC Twente

When Ajax have played Twente at home in the past, a home win has generally been regarded as a foregone conclusion. However, times have recently changed, and we expect the visitors to outclass and outfight their hosts for another victory in a strong campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
46.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 22.56% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 31.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.66% (-0.126 -0.13)35.34% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.63% (-0.142 -0.14)57.37% (0.143 0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)15.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.107 -0.11)45.1% (0.109 0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)22.54% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 46.04%
    FC Twente 31.4%
    Draw 22.56%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Rots (7'), Steijn (11'), Unuvar (79')
Sadilek (74')
Brobbey (35')
Bergwijn (13'), Hato (82')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Twente
3-1
Ajax
Ugalde (46'), Pleguezuelo (51'), Cerny (75')
Smal (53'), Sadilek (68')
Tadic (31')
Berghuis (85')
Feb 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
FC Twente
0-1
Ajax
Kudus (70')
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Feb 13, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
5-0
FC Twente
Klaassen (31'), Haller (53', 85', 88'), Propper (77' og.)
Tadic (41')

Rots (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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