MX23RW : Monday, November 18 02:50:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Vitesse

Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse

Hato (3'), Hlynsson (12'), Oroz (50' og.), Akpom (58'), Taylor (67')
Bergwijn (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cornelisse (90+1'), Domgjoni (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Vitesse

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-2 Vitesse

 Vitesse have won four times here in the last 11 years and got a 2-2 draw last season in this fixture, so despite their early woes, they will feel it is a great opportunity to claim another big scalp. However, Ajax's two home league wins under Van 't Schip means it is likely they will be able to come through this fixture with a win, even if it is likely to be closer than they would hope. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawVitesse
61.6% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 19.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.15% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.49% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (0.073999999999998 0.07)31.61% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (0.085999999999999 0.09)53.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90% (0.01100000000001 0.01)9.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.99% (0.025999999999996 0.03)33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.084000000000003 0.08)29.45% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.102 0.1)65.46% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 61.6%
    Vitesse 19.15%
    Draw 19.25%
AjaxDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.25%
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 19.15%

How you voted: Ajax vs Vitesse

Ajax
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Vitesse
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 23
Vitesse
1-2
Ajax
Van Ginkel (30')
Klaassen (32'), Alvarez (54')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 12
Ajax
2-2
Vitesse
Tadic (6'), Lucca (79')
Manhoef (25', 74')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 31
Vitesse
2-2
Ajax
Openda (52', 56')
Brobbey (15'), Alvarez (87')
Alvarez (24'), Brobbey (73'), Blind (73'), Klaassen (76')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (17', 61'), Haller (30', 46'), Tadic (51')

Wittek (52')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Ajax
5-0
Vitesse
Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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