Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
43.45% ( -0.03) | 24.78% ( 0.19) | 31.77% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% ( -0.91) | 45.71% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( -0.88) | 68.03% ( 0.87) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( -0.4) | 21.09% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.08% ( -0.62) | 53.92% ( 0.61) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% ( -0.55) | 27.36% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.17% ( -0.72) | 62.82% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 28 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 25 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |