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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Brentford logo

Aston Villa
3 - 3
Brentford

Watkins (38', 80'), Rogers (46')
Carlos (84'), Luiz (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jorgensen (59'), Mbeumo (61'), Wissa (68')
Damsgaard (42'), Wissa (53')

The Match

Match Report

Relegation-threatened Brentford come from two goals behind to draw 3-3 with Champions League-chasing Aston Villa at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 4-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
65.56% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 18.76% (0.02 0.02) 15.67% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.2% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)35.79% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.13% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)57.87% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)10.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.47% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)33.52% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.83% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)72.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 65.56%
    Brentford 15.67%
    Draw 18.76%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.24% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 65.56%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.76%
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 15.67%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brentford

Aston Villa
73.0%
Draw
17.2%
Brentford
9.8%
163
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Brentford
1-2
Aston Villa
Lewis-Potter (45')
Norgaard (46'), Frank (47'), Ghoddos (86'), Janelt (88'), Onyeka (90'), Maupay (90+1'), Yarmolyuk (90+8')
Mee (71')
Moreno (77'), Watkins (85')
Bailey (80'), Konsa (86'), Duran (87'), Emery (90+8'), Martinez (90+8')
Kamara (90+7')
Jul 30, 2023 5pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
3-3
Brentford
Konsa (27'), Diaby (32'), Cash (37')
(0')
Mbeumo (9' pen.), Dasilva (22'), Baptiste (66')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Toney (65')
Luiz (87')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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