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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a close encounter between two sides full of quality on Saturday but give a slight edge to the hosts, who have more momentum on their side and their sights set on taking top spot in the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
48.86% (-2.189 -2.19) 22.78% (0.354 0.35) 28.35% (1.826 1.83)
Both teams to score 62.3% (0.319 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (-0.266 -0.27)38.25% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.282 -0.28)60.53% (0.274 0.27)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)15.95% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.598 -1.6)45.23% (1.592 1.59)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (1.123 1.12)25.87% (-1.131 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (1.497 1.5)60.85% (-1.506 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.86%
    Barnsley 28.35%
    Draw 22.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.318 0.32)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.175 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
11.1%
9
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe23155349252450
2Birmingham CityBirmingham22155238172150
3Wrexham24146436181848
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Reading2312473933640
6Barnsley2411673633339
7Stockport CountyStockport24108636251138
8Leyton Orient2310493122934
9Mansfield TownMansfield2210482925434
10Bolton WanderersBolton2210483333034
11Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
12Lincoln CityLincoln248792830-231
13Exeter CityExeter2394102729-231
14Stevenage228681820-230
15Blackpool237883134-329
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham227692123-227
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2374124145-425
19Northampton TownNorthampton2458112339-1623
20Bristol Rovers2364132138-1722
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2345142443-1917
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2345142242-2017
24Burton Albion2328132037-1714


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