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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Burton Albion

The Trotters may have failed to bolt the back door shut at home in recent weeks, but even without Evatt barking orders from the touchline, Bolton should not face many obstacles en route to a convincing win here. The international break did come at a good time for a defensively suspect Burton side, but Robinson's side will surely return home battered and bruised as Bolton set their sights on the top half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
64.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 19.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11%10.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.03%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.17%
    Burton Albion 16.49%
    Draw 19.34%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.28%
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03%
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
89.3%
Draw
3.6%
Burton Albion
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bolton
1-0
Burton Albion
Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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