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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
51.4% ( 0.13) | 23.46% ( -0.03) | 25.14% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.99% ( 0.04) | 44% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.61% ( 0.04) | 66.39% ( -0.04) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( 0.06) | 17.16% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.58% ( 0.11) | 47.41% ( -0.11) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( -0.06) | 31.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( -0.07) | 67.59% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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