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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coral Windows Stadium
Swindon Town

Bradford
1 - 0
Swindon

Kavanagh (24')
Pointon (74'), Sarcevic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (7'), McGregor (68')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bradford City and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawSwindon Town
51.4% (0.127 0.13) 23.46% (-0.029 -0.03) 25.14% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)44% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.037999999999997 0.04)66.39% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.061999999999998 0.06)17.16% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.111 0.11)47.41% (-0.114 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.24% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)67.59% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 51.4%
    Swindon Town 25.14%
    Draw 23.45%
Bradford CityDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-0
Bradford
Austin (17' pen.), Devoy (45+2')
Kokolo (45+4'), Khan (58')

Alexander (46'), Stubbs (49'), Smallwood (55')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bradford
1-0
Swindon
Pointon (50')
Walker (60'), Halliday (76'), Smallwood (89')

Khan (42'), Hutton (65'), Austin (76')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bradford
1-1
Swindon
Wright (31')
Jephcott (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bradford
1-2
Swindon
Evans (18')
O'Connor (40')
McKirdy (21'), Payne (90+6' pen.)
Reed (57'), Iandolo (61'), McKirdy (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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