Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
34.27% ( 0.38) | 23.35% ( -0.36) | 42.38% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 63.39% ( 1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.85% ( 1.85) | 38.14% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.58% ( 1.95) | 60.41% ( -1.94) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( 1.07) | 22.28% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.26% ( 1.58) | 55.73% ( -1.58) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( 0.76) | 18.43% ( -0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( 1.26) | 49.59% ( -1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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