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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
53.65% ( -0.04) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 21.61% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% ( -0.03) | 52.78% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% ( -0.03) | 74.41% ( 0.03) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.37% ( -0.03) | 19.63% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.41% ( -0.04) | 51.59% ( 0.04) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( 0) | 39.28% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% ( 0.01) | 75.98% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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