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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Preston North End logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Preston


Foster (66'), Brownhill (69'), Egan Riley (71')
FT

Hughes (26'), Woodman (44'), Whiteman (55'), McCann (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Preston North End

Unbeaten at home in the Championship so far, Burnley will be confident of recording another win at Turf Moor against one of their Lancashire rivals. Preston have failed to earn three points on the road in the second tier during 2024-25, and we do not expect their maiden away success to arrive at the home of a promotion favourite on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
55.52% (2.941 2.94) 23.31% (-0.418 -0.42) 21.16% (-2.524 -2.52)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-1.954 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.994 -0.99)47.56% (0.995 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.927 -0.93)69.77% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.70700000000001 0.71)16.97% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (1.241 1.24)47.07% (-1.241 -1.24)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-2.916 -2.92)36.77% (2.915 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (-3.036 -3.04)73.56% (3.036 3.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 55.52%
    Preston North End 21.16%
    Draw 23.31%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.69 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.83 0.83)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.613 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.325 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.134 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.543 -0.54)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Burnley vs Preston

Burnley
83.9%
Draw
11.5%
Preston North End
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
3-0
Preston
Tella (15', 55', 58')
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Burnley
Maguire (65')
Walters (21'), Vokes (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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