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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Preston North End logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Preston


Foster (66'), Brownhill (69'), Egan Riley (71')
FT

Hughes (26'), Woodman (44'), Whiteman (55'), McCann (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Preston North End

Unbeaten at home in the Championship so far, Burnley will be confident of recording another win at Turf Moor against one of their Lancashire rivals. Preston have failed to earn three points on the road in the second tier during 2024-25, and we do not expect their maiden away success to arrive at the home of a promotion favourite on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
55.52% (2.941 2.94) 23.31% (-0.418 -0.42) 21.16% (-2.524 -2.52)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-1.954 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.994 -0.99)47.56% (0.995 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.927 -0.93)69.77% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (0.70700000000001 0.71)16.97% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.93% (1.241 1.24)47.07% (-1.241 -1.24)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-2.916 -2.92)36.77% (2.915 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (-3.036 -3.04)73.56% (3.036 3.04)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 55.52%
    Preston North End 21.16%
    Draw 23.31%
BurnleyDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.69 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.83 0.83)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.613 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.14 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.325 0.33)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.134 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 55.52%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.543 -0.54)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.388 -0.39)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.16%

How you voted: Burnley vs Preston

Burnley
83.9%
Draw
11.5%
Preston North End
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
3-0
Preston
Tella (15', 55', 58')
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
0-0
Burnley
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-2
Burnley
Maguire (65')
Walters (21'), Vokes (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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