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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Harrogate Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Harrogate

Armstrong (44')
Neal (39'), Mellish (74'), Robinson (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Daly (39')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
31.47% (-0.188 -0.19) 25.7% (0.194 0.19) 42.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.70099999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.875 -0.88)49.86% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.786 -0.79)71.86% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)29.62% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.69 -0.69)65.66% (0.696 0.7)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)23.16% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.556 -0.56)57.03% (0.561 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 31.47%
    Harrogate Town 42.82%
    Draw 25.7%
Carlisle UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.47%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.82%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-0
Harrogate
Gibson (3', 79')
Garner (42')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carlisle
0-1
Harrogate
Huntington (82' og.)
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Harrogate
3-3
Carlisle
Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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