Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.