Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Auckland FC had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Auckland FC win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.