Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.