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Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Toronto FC

Colorado
2 - 0
Toronto

Cannon (52'), Mihailovic (90+1' pen.)
Larraz (23'), Rosenberry (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Osei Owusu (37'), O'Neill (43'), Flores (70'), Mabika (89'), Kerr (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Colorado Rapids and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Colorado
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Colorado Rapids 3-0 Toronto

While Toronto have found a way to stay in the playoff picture all year, we believe fatigue will play a factor for them this weekend against a high-octane attacking force in Colorado, not to mention playing in the high altitude of Commerce City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.

Result
Colorado RapidsDrawToronto
60.08% (-0.109 -0.11) 21% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 18.92% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)40.45% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)62.83% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)13.08% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-0.117 -0.12)39.69% (0.112 0.11)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (0.018999999999991 0.02)34.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)71.71% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Colorado Rapids 60.08%
    Toronto 18.92%
    Draw 21%
Colorado RapidsDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21%
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Colorado vs Toronto

Colorado Rapids
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Toronto
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 1am
Jun 21, 2020 2am
Sep 15, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 37
Toronto
3-2
Colorado
Endoh (8'), Pozuelo (13' pen.), Osorio (70')
Altidore (59'), Mavinga (74')
Rosenberry (31'), Nicholson (62')
Abubakar (10'), Rubio (64')
Apr 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 7
Colorado
2-0
Toronto
Price (2'), Gashi (78' pen.)
Badji (83'), Price (86')
Jul 23, 2017 12am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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