Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
18.25% ( -2.23) | 23.44% ( -0.78) | 58.32% ( 3.01) |
Both teams to score 47.49% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% ( 0.17) | 51.86% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0.15) | 73.62% ( -0.14) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.58% ( -2.4) | 42.42% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( -2.13) | 78.79% ( 2.13) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.48% ( 1.18) | 17.53% ( -1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( 2.01) | 48.05% ( -2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.25% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 11.27% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 6.54% ( 0.67) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.39) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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