Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
20.74% ( -0.3) | 25.91% ( -0.16) | 53.35% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.06% ( 0.26) | 57.94% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.36% ( 0.2) | 78.64% ( -0.2) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% ( -0.18) | 43.15% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.59% ( -0.15) | 79.41% ( 0.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0.46) | 55.04% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 14.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |