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Serie A
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cagliari logo

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari

Cataldi (24')
Comuzzo (30'), Dodo (58'), Gosens (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mina (35'), Nicola (83'), Luvumbo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Empoli (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, December 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Cagliari

 Though their rhythm has been broken by recent events, the Viola should prevail and write their names into club history with an eighth straight league win. Cagliari (10) and Fiorentina (eight) have gained the most points in Serie A via goals scored after the 70th minute, so a dramatic conclusion could be in store. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
68.5% (0.12700000000001 0.13) 18.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 13.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.42% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.8% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (0.043000000000006 0.04)10.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09)34.76% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)42.43% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.19% (-0.081 -0.08)78.81% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 68.5%
    Cagliari 13.03%
    Draw 18.46%
FiorentinaDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 11.34% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.43% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 68.5%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

Fiorentina
92.4%
Draw
7.6%
Cagliari
0.0%
79
Head to Head
May 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cagliari
2-3
Fiorentina
Deiola (64'), Mutandwa (85')
Sulemana (90+4'), Mina (90+2'), Sulemana (90+4')
Bonaventura (39'), Gonzalez (89'), Arthur (90+13' pen.)
Mandragora (44'), Biraghi (45+3'), Ranieri (45+2'), Bonaventura (71'), N'Zola (89')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Gonzalez (3'), Dossena (21' og.), N'Zola (90+4')
Infantino (86')

Pavoletti (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Pedro (47')
Altare (10'), Mazzarri (60'), Pedro (81'), Ceppitelli (86')
Sottil (75')
Biraghi (29'), Sottil (75'), Maleh (89')
Odriozola (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Biraghi (21' pen.), Gonzalez (42'), Vlahovic (49')

Balde (20'), Marin (48')
> Preview
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Cagliari
0-0
Fiorentina
Lykogiannis (35')
Pulgar (27'), Caceres (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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