Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 0Cagliari
We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Cagliari
Though their rhythm has been broken by recent events, the Viola should prevail and write their names into club history with an eighth straight league win. Cagliari (10) and Fiorentina (eight) have gained the most points in Serie A via goals scored after the 70th minute, so a dramatic conclusion could be in store. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
68.5% ( 0.13) | 18.46% ( -0.05) | 13.03% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
