Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
49.07% ( -0.02) | 22.39% ( 0.01) | 28.54% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 63.86% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.74% ( -0.05) | 36.27% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.61% ( -0.06) | 58.39% ( 0.06) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% ( -0.03) | 15.15% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.26% ( -0.05) | 43.74% ( 0.05) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( -0.02) | 24.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.7% ( -0.03) | 59.3% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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