Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 81.17%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.26%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.