Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Jagiellonia1 - 4Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-4 Cracovia
Saturday, August 17 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, August 17 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
We said: Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Ajax
The Polish champions may have faltered over the past few days, but they are more than capable of competing with an Ajax side still searching for its identity. Given defensive frailties on both sides, a score draw could be on the cards this week, setting up an intriguing return in Amsterdam. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Ajax |
| 31.69% | 21.16% ( 0) | 47.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 70.72% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
