Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
35.1% ( -0.07) | 28.54% ( -0.02) | 36.35% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.17% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.76% ( 0.07) | 60.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.05) | 80.41% ( -0.05) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( -0.01) | 32.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( -0.01) | 68.97% ( 0.02) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( 0.09) | 31.64% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.94% ( 0.11) | 68.05% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Como | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
17 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 16 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
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