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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lorient logo

Lille
3 - 0
Lorient

David (37'), Cabella (90'), Zhegrova (90+3')
Andre (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Bris (30'), Le Bris (30'), Bakayoko (41'), Pelon (55'), Toure (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 12-0 Golden Lion
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 3-0 Lorient

 Their Coupe de France encounter was clearly a mismatch, but Lille now have a thirst for goals and will be seeking retribution versus Les Merlus, who beat them handily earlier this season. Lorient could be reeling from several poor defensive displays and numerous starters away on international duty, and we expect to see Les Dogues pounce on a side who could barely contain a second-tier club last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawLorient
71.59% (0.63 0.63) 17.55% (-0.217 -0.22) 10.86% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.143 -0.14)41.93% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.144 -0.14)64.33% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.121 0.12)10.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (0.27200000000001 0.27)33.92% (-0.27 -0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (-0.835 -0.84)47.07% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (-0.639 -0.64)82.54% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Lille 71.58%
    Lorient 10.86%
    Draw 17.55%
LilleDrawLorient
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.2 0.2)
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.203 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.58%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.55%
0-1 @ 3.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 10.86%

How you voted: Lille vs Lorient

Lille
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lorient
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 3
Lorient
4-1
Lille
Abergel (9'), Ponceau (10'), Faivre (62'), Le Goff (67')
Pagis (49'), Doucoure (57')
David (55')
Yoro (15'), Diakite (27'), Andre (51'), Yazici (87')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 29
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Cabella (13'), Zhegrova (89', 90+1')
Kone (77')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 9
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Diakite (9' og.), Le Bris (87')
David (78')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Lihadji (10'), Jenz (19' og.), Mandava (31')
Soumano (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Lauriente (7'), Moffi (87')
Abergel (34'), Boisgard (90+1')
Yilmaz (25' pen.)
Gomes (44'), Xeka (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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