Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Osasuna |
42.42% ( 0.22) | 29.65% ( -0.03) | 27.93% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 41.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.73% ( 0.02) | 65.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.92% ( 0.01) | 84.08% ( -0.01) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% ( 0.14) | 30.55% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( 0.16) | 66.78% ( -0.16) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.46% ( -0.15) | 40.54% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.85% ( -0.14) | 77.14% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 27.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |