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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Iberostar Estadi
Osauna logo

Mallorca
3 - 2
Osasuna

Nastasic (12'), Rodriguez (53'), Raillo (62')
Raillo (28'), Maffeo (47'), Costa (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibanez (7'), Garcia (90+1')
Avila (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Mallorca
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Mallorca 1-1 Osasuna

Only three goals have been scored across the last three meetings between Mallorca and Osasuna, and another closely-fought low-scoring contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The two teams will view this fixture as a good opportunity to claim maximum points in their quest to climb into the top 10, but considering that there is little separate both sides, we believe that the spoils will be shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
MallorcaDrawOsasuna
42.42% (0.22 0.22) 29.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.93% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 41.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.92% (0.013 0.01)84.08% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.136 0.14)30.55% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.16 0.16)66.78% (-0.161 -0.16)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (-0.153 -0.15)40.54% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85% (-0.137 -0.14)77.14% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 42.42%
    Osasuna 27.92%
    Draw 29.64%
MallorcaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 14.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 42.42%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.64%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 27.92%

How you voted: Mallorca vs Osasuna

Mallorca
34.8%
Draw
39.1%
Osasuna
26.1%
69
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Osasuna
1-0
Mallorca
Oroz (47')
May 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Osasuna
0-2
Mallorca

Brasanac (62'), Garcia (85')
Rodriguez (47'), Grenier (83')
Aguirre (34'), Reina (89'), Maffeo (90')
Sep 26, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 7
Mallorca
2-3
Osasuna
Rodriguez (11'), Nino (45+4')
Nino (20'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+6')
Angel (9'), Perez (58'), Martinez (88')
Hernandez (15'), Sanjurjo (75')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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