Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
49.79% ( 0.01) | 23.65% ( 0) | 26.56% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% ( -0.02) | 43.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% ( -0.02) | 66.07% ( 0.01) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% ( -0.01) | 17.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.74% ( -0.01) | 48.26% ( 0) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( -0.01) | 29.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% ( -0.02) | 66.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.75% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
> Championship Full Table |