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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Swansea

Latte Lath (45+1', 79')
Ayling (81'), Barlaser (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (78'), Cullen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Swansea City

Middlesbrough have found their rhythm in recent matches and should be confident of easing past Swansea at the Riverside Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Swans' season is petering out massively, so we are envisaging a poor performance and defeat for the visitors on Teesside during this Championship clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
49.79% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 23.65% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.68% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)43.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)17.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.96% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.07% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 49.79%
    Swansea City 26.56%
    Draw 23.65%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 26.56%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Swansea City
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
1-2
Middlesbrough
Lowe (59')
Tymon (62'), Paterson (65')
Greenwood (43'), Silvera (78')
Howson (64'), Jones (67'), Latte Lath (90+4')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Swansea
1-3
Middlesbrough
Piroe (15')
Ramsey (54'), Archer (57'), Akpom (77' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')
Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swansea
1-1
Middlesbrough
Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Swansea
Jones (26')
McNair (70')

Paterson (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby175572122-120
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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