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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Salford City

MK Dons
0 - 1
Salford City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adelakun (35')
Ashley (50'), Tilt (52'), Watson (69'), Shephard (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-2 MK Dons
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Salford City
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Salford City

Salford are the more in-form side at the moment, but MK Dons will have a point to prove here as they target a first home win in four matches.   That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with both teams settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Salford City in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSalford City
34.25% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 26.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 39.62% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.54% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.013000000000005 0.01)50.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)72.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.1% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)25.27% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)60.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 34.25%
    Salford City 39.62%
    Draw 26.13%
MK DonsDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.62%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Salford City

MK Dons
13.3%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
53.3%
15
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
Salford City
1-0
MK Dons
Okoronkko (42')
Edwards (60')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
MK Dons
3-1
Salford City
Lofthouse (27'), Gilbey (31'), Smith (45+7' og.)
Williamson (21'), Bate (74'), Harrison (74')
Smith (12')
McLennan (20'), Smith (54'), McAleny (71'), Vassell (74'), Lund (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Salford City
2-4
MK Dons
N'Mai (36'), Watson (45+2' pen.)
Lund (33'), Wood (34'), Mariappa (64')
Dean (10'), Tomlinson (50', 72'), Harrison (88')
Williams (67'), Tomlinson (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall26184452262658
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe271210534231146
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
4Port Vale2712963328545
5AFC Wimbledon25135737191844
6Notts County26128642271544
7Bradford CityBradford26128637271044
8Salford City2612683023742
9Grimsby Town27122133744-738
10Chesterfield269984031936
11Bromley2681173632435
12MK Dons26105113937235
13Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2697103639-334
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood258983331233
16BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
17Gillingham2594122326-331
18Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2885152338-1529
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2577113343-1028
21Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2668121940-2126
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2656152140-1921
24Morecambe2655162241-1920


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