Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.74% ( 0.19) | 24.67% ( 0.01) | 25.59% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( -0.19) | 48.88% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( -0.17) | 70.97% ( 0.17) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% | 19.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% | 51.66% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.51% ( -0.26) | 33.49% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% ( -0.29) | 70.13% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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