Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Vizela |
54.96% ( 0.26) | 23.15% ( 0.01) | 21.89% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.97% ( -0.37) | 46.03% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% ( -0.35) | 68.33% ( 0.35) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% ( -0.04) | 16.62% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.55% ( -0.07) | 46.45% ( 0.08) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.8% ( -0.46) | 35.2% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.05% ( -0.48) | 71.96% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |