Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Motherwell3 - 1Alloa
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Motherwell and Alloa Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 56.59% | 21.41% | 22% |
| Both teams to score 60.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
