Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.