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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bolton logo

Northampton
1 - 1
Bolton

Bowie (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendes Gomes (74')
Adeboyejo (23'), Sheehan (54'), Jones (90+1')
Evatt (24'), Thomason (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

Northampton's form appears to have hit a road block, but Brady will not be too concerned considering that they are almost certainly safe from relegation, which would have been their primary aim following promotion from League Two last season. Bolton, on the other hand, are aiming to be in the Championship later this year, but they are likely to require embarking on an impressive run at some point in order to achieve that. We can envisage them winning to nil on Saturday, with Evatt's side already winning six games on the road this season in this manner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBolton Wanderers
22.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 25.56%52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41%76.59%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.1%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 22.11%
    Bolton Wanderers 52.32%
    Draw 25.56%
Northampton TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-1 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 3.53%
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 22.11%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 4.83%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.32%

How you voted: Northampton vs Bolton

Northampton Town
12.5%
Draw
6.3%
Bolton Wanderers
81.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Charles (8'), Williams (16')
Hoskins (66')
Hondermarck (86')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Le Fondre (75' pen.), Morais (82')
Smith (57')
Richards (17'), Buchanan (51')
Nov 26, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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