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EFL Cup
QPR logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Luton Town

QPR
1 - 1
Luton

Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
QPR win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Luton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-2 Luton Town

 QPR have seen their last two matches end all square, and while we believe that they could play out another draw in Tuesday's EFL Cup clash, we think that the hosts will still progress via a penalty-shootout win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
41.44% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.57% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.99% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)48.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)70.92% (0.012 0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)28.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.79% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 41.44%
    Luton Town 32.99%
    Draw 25.57%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.44%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.99%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
52.7%
Draw
20.3%
Luton Town
27.0%
74
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
> Preview
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
QPR
3-1
Luton
Austin (20'), Johansen (60'), Adomah (90')
Austin (1')
Dewsbury-Hall (43')
Rea (45')
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