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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Manchester City logo

Real Madrid
3 - 3
Man City

Dias (12' og.), Rodrygo (14'), Valverde (79')
Tchouameni (1'), Carvajal (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (2'), Foden (66'), Gvardiol (71')
Akanji (37'), Silva (88')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City and Real Madrid are level heading into the second leg, with the two European giants playing out a 3-3 draw in their Champions League quarter-final clash.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-4 Man City
Saturday, April 6 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawManchester City
44.24% (0.165 0.16) 23.91% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 31.84% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 60.37% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (-0.143 -0.14)41.71% (0.144 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (-0.146 -0.15)64.12% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.01100000000001 0.01)19.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (0.019000000000005 0.02)50.72% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)25.37% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.246 -0.25)60.17% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 44.24%
    Manchester City 31.84%
    Draw 23.91%
Real MadridDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 44.24%
1-1 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.84%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Man City

Real Madrid
46.4%
Draw
22.4%
Manchester City
31.2%
772
Head to Head
May 17, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Man City
4-0
Real Madrid
Silva (23', 37'), Akanji (76'), Alvarez (90+1')
Dias (50'), Gundogan (62'), Grealish (90+1')

Carvajal (55'), Camavinga (75')
> Match Report
May 9, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Real Madrid
1-1
Man City
Junior (36')
De Bruyne (67')
> Match Report
May 4, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Real Madrid
3-1
Man City
Rodrygo (90', 90+1'), Benzema (95' pen.)
Modric (9'), Carvajal (65'), Militao (84'), Valverde (90+6')
Mahrez (73')
Laporte (9'), Sterling (101'), Zinchenko (113')
> Match Report
Apr 26, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Man City
4-3
Real Madrid
De Bruyne (2'), Jesus (11'), Foden (53'), Silva (74')
Guardiola (54'), Fernandinho (81')
Benzema (33', 82'), Junior (55')
Nacho (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2020 8pm
Round of 16
Man City
2-1
Real Madrid
Sterling (9'), Jesus (68')
Benzema (28')
Modric (81')
> Match Report
Build-up
England's Kyle Walker receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on March 23, 2024
Pep Guardiola provides concerning Kyle Walker update for Real Madrid clash
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola issues a worrying update on Kyle Walker's fitness ahead of next week's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 4, 12:19
 Manchester City's Josko Gvardiol pictured on December 16, 2023
Manchester City injury news before Real Madrid - Gvardiol, Ake latest
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 7, 07:33
 Real Madrid's David Alaba celebrates their first goal on September 2, 2023
Real Madrid injury update vs. Manchester City - Los Blancos duo to miss out
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Manchester City.
Apr 7, 08:50
 Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their third goal and completes his hat-trick on January 14, 2024
How Real Madrid could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Manchester City.
Apr 7, 10:28
 Manchester City's Josko Gvardiol pictured on December 16, 2023
How Manchester City could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 7, 10:38
 Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham scores against Girona on February 10, 2024
Real Madrid vs. Man City Combined XI - Haaland, Bellingham, Foden
Ahead of Real Madrid's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Manchester City, Sports Mole picks a combined XI from both squads.
Apr 7, 18:02
 Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior in action with Manchester City's Kyle Walker on May 4, 2022
Real Madrid vs. Manchester City: Head-to-head record and past meetings
Ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at the head-to-head record and previous meetings between the two clubs.
Apr 7, 13:16
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts alongside Real Madrid coach Zinedine Zidane on February 26, 2020
Pep Guardiola's managerial record vs. Real Madrid
Ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Manchester City, Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at Pep Guardiola's managerial record against Los Blancos.
Apr 7, 13:42
 Manchester City's Ederson with manager Pep Guardiola after being substituted after sustaining an injury on March 10, 2024
Pep Guardiola casts doubt on Ederson start against Real Madrid
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola casts doubt on a return to the starting lineup for Ederson in Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 7, 23:58
 England's Kyle Walker receives medical attention after sustaining an injury on March 23, 2024
Manchester City confirm two key players will miss Real Madrid Champions League tie
Two key Manchester City players are left out of Pep Guardiola's 21-man travelling squad for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg tie against Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu.
Apr 8, 16:26
 Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on March 31, 2024
Pep Guardiola delivers defensive injury update ahead of Real Madrid clash
Pep Guardiola delivers an injury update on Josko Gvardiol, Kyle Walker and Nathan Ake ahead of Manchester City's Champions League quarter-final first-leg tie against Real Madrid on Tuesday.
Apr 8, 21:28
 Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham reacts on October 28, 2023
Pep Guardiola claims "brilliant" Real Madrid star has "a long career ahead of him"
Pep Guardiola talks up the qualities of Real Madrid's "brilliant" Jude Bellingham ahead of Manchester City's first-leg tie with Los Blancos in the Champions League quarter-finals.
Apr 8, 21:51
 Real Madrid centre-back David Alaba on May 9, 2023
Real Madrid missing two players for Manchester City contest
Real Madrid will be missing Thibaut Courtois and David Alaba for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Manchester City.
Apr 8, 22:22
 General view of Real Madrid's Bernabeu taken August 2018
UEFA releases statement on alleged Champions League terror threat
UEFA insist that all four Champions League quarter-final first legs are set to go ahead as scheduled following an alleged terror threat from ISIS.
Apr 9, 14:25
rhs 2.0
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