Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.03% ( -3.1) | 21.27% ( -0.88) | 62.71% ( 3.99) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -3.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( -1.27) | 46.59% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( -1.2) | 68.86% ( 1.2) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% ( -4.44) | 42.03% ( 4.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% ( -4.09) | 78.46% ( 4.09) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% ( 0.85) | 14.25% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.98% ( 1.63) | 42.02% ( -1.62) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.94) 0-2 @ 11.36% ( 1.22) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.38% ( 0.99) 1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.58) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.29) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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