Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
52.21% ( -0.19) | 22.04% ( 0.13) | 25.74% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.13% ( -0.54) | 36.87% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.95% ( -0.59) | 59.05% ( 0.59) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.68% ( -0.25) | 14.32% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.86% ( -0.49) | 42.14% ( 0.49) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( -0.24) | 26.98% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( -0.31) | 62.32% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.43% Total : 52.22% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 25.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |