Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 21.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
58.24% ( 0.53) | 19.83% ( -0.09) | 21.93% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 66.03% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.66% ( -0.1) | 30.34% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.4% ( -0.12) | 51.61% ( 0.13) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.56% ( 0.11) | 10.44% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.97% ( 0.23) | 34.03% ( -0.22) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% ( -0.39) | 26.28% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.61% ( -0.54) | 61.4% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.45% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 21.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |