MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 18:06:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

Without their home form, Union would certainly still be in the bottom three, and they will come into this clash as slight favourites to make it four home wins in a row. While it should be a close encounter, a fifth straight draw for Wolfsburg would be remarkable, but they have not enjoyed much success at this stadium, and that could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
44.83% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 26.04% (0.114 0.11) 29.13% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-0.579 -0.58)52.25% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (-0.502 -0.5)73.95% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.202 -0.2)23.23% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)57.14% (0.285 0.28)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)32.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.524 -0.52)69.02% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 44.82%
    Wolfsburg 29.13%
    Draw 26.04%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
52.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wolfsburg
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Awoniyi (24' og.)

Mohwald (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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