Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
63.9% ( -0.34) | 21.21% ( 0.28) | 14.88% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( -1.07) | 48.47% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( -0.98) | 70.6% ( 0.98) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.51% ( -0.45) | 14.49% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.52% ( -0.87) | 42.48% ( 0.87) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.28% ( -0.57) | 44.72% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.29% ( -0.47) | 80.71% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.89% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |