Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.