MX23RW : Monday, December 23 08:43:03| >> :600:794142:794142:
Watford logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Martins (5')
Chakvetadze (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Armstrong (89')
Holgate (4'), Alcaraz (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Watford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-3 Southampton

With both teams expected to make changes, there is more of an unpredictability regarding the final outcome. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Southampton against any of the EFL clubs right now, even though they may have to showcase their superior class in the second half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
39.48% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 60.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)21.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)54.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)23.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 39.48%
    Southampton 36.23%
    Draw 24.29%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.48%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.23%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
55.6%
Draw
16.7%
Southampton
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Southampton
Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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