Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
41.17% ( 1.98) | 23.81% ( 0.23) | 35.02% ( -2.22) |
Both teams to score 61.85% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.76% ( -1.44) | 40.24% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.39% ( -1.5) | 62.61% ( 1.5) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.17% ( 0.29) | 19.83% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.09% ( 0.47) | 51.91% ( -0.48) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -1.8) | 22.85% ( 1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( -2.72) | 56.58% ( 2.72) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.13% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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