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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Watford |
46.22% ( 0.11) | 26.56% ( -0.06) | 27.22% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.05% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.74% ( 0.21) | 55.26% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% ( 0.18) | 76.48% ( -0.17) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.13% ( 0.15) | 23.87% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% ( 0.21) | 58.07% ( -0.2) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% ( 0.08) | 35.58% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% ( 0.08) | 72.35% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 39 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 29 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 15 |
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