Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.