Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.65% ( 0.06) | 23.21% ( 0.04) | 49.14% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.16% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% ( -0.14) | 40.82% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( -0.14) | 63.21% ( 0.14) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.03) | 27.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( -0.04) | 63.22% ( 0.04) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% ( -0.09) | 16.81% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% ( -0.16) | 46.79% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 49.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
3 | Macarthur | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 30 | -23 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |